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Author Archive: David Thomas, CFA
Does Biotech History Repeat?
According to Mark Twain, “History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme”. Little did he know that one day that would hold true for something called “Biotech”. Indeed, there seems to be a lot of rhyming going on with Biotech IPOs today with recent history. When we compare the accumulated number of IPOs in the last IPO window (2003-2007) with the current window (2009-now), we see an amazing overlay. Not identical, but not too far from it. Read More >
Update: Indices, IPOs, and New Drug Approvals
Here is a look at year to date (YTD) numbers through the end of February for the biotech indices, initial public offerings, and recent FDA Approvals. 1. Indices: The Nasdaq Biotech Index held the January jump through February, settling at + 14% YTD. The concentrated BTK slipped in February, but has outpaced the NBI since January 1st. YTD, both biotech indices have significantly outperformed the broader market. In contrast, the NYSE Pharmaceuticals Index has not Read More >
Oncology Clinical Trials – Secrets of Success
At last year’s BIO CEO & Investor Conference, BIO and BioMedTracker presented data showing that drugs in development for oncology indications had the lowest overall clinical trial success rate of all therapeutic areas in development since 2004. We have updated these numbers to include clinical trials through December 2011. Although overall success rates did improve slightly, oncology remained in last place. The chart below illustrates why oncology’s overall success rate is so low relative to Read More >
BIO CEO 2012 Opening Remarks
The 14th Annual BIO CEO & Investor Conference started with a busy turnout Monday at the Waldorf=Astoria Hotel in New York City. Meetings scheduled between institutional investors and biotech executives hit a record high and the opening plenary was a standing room only event. Kicking off the plenary were opening remarks from BIO’s Executive Vice President of Emerging Companies and Business Development, Alan Eisenberg. A copy of the slides can be found here: Opening Plenary Read More >
A Very Big BTK January
We all heard reports that January was a great start to 2012 for the stock market, and even more so for Biotech. But how big was it, really? The Amex Biotech Index (the “BTK“) had its biggest January on record, since 1992, with a +21% pop: The companies behind the numbers? The Nasdaq Biotech Index was up 11%, the best in a decade. The January 2000 jump of 15% is still a tough month to beat Read More >



