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Author Archive: David Thomas, CFA
2011, The Year of Positive Thinking? BIO/IPREO Study Reveals High Hopes for the Industry
BIO CEO’s closing plenary session featured plenty of crystal ball gazing and candid quips about what 2011 has in store for the biotech industry. While the panel provided an in-depth look at how buy-side and sell-side analysts evaluate the industry, the BIO/IPREO Investor Perception Study reveals that the majority of investors believe biotech is headed in the right direction. Access full study deck here: BIO CEO – IPREO Biotech Investor Perception Study The study also reveals that Read More >
Release of BIO/Biomedtracker Drug Approval Rates Study
BIO and BioMedTracker are pleased to present the findings of their joint clinical trial success rates study. Using clinical trial data from the past seven years, this analysis examines the most recent probability of success by treatment type, phase of development and therapeutic area. The overall success rate for drugs moving through clinical trials to FDA approval from late 2003 to the end of 2010 is near one in 10, not one in five to one Read More >
Effective Tax Rates for Biotech
The New York Times published a misleading article and companion blog post on corporate tax rates last Thursday, leaving us scratching our heads over the claim that the biotech sector pays a paltry “effective” corporate tax rate of 4.46%, the lowest rate amongst the 20 industries surveyed. After careful reading of the article and examination of supporting documents, we found that the authors vastly underestimated the industry’s effective tax rate. First, the authors incorrectly average Read More >
2010 Biotech Stock Performance
How did biotech stocks perform in 2010? It was a good year for the two most closely followed biotech stock indices, the NBI and BTK, as each outperformed the S&P 500 in 2010. However, in terms of breadth, only 49% of companies posted a gain for 2010 as seen in the first chart below. The 92 companies that started the year in the valuation range of $1M-$50M had a median return of -8%, a reversal Read More >
IPO UPDATE – JANUARY 4th, 2011
In 2010 we saw the return of the Biotech IPO. In the US, 17 biotech companies went public, up from 3 in 2009, and only 1 in 2008. However, almost all of them had to accept a lower price than was sought in the initial filing. The average downward adjustment to the amount raised was 25%. The median and mean amount raised in the US in 2010 was $53M and $84M, respectively. Since the IPO Read More >



